Once again, it’s time to look back at my previous predictions while also outlining some expectations for round three.
For those who are unfamiliar, I began a bit of a project at the start of the playoffs that put a new spin on predictions. I made my own personal predictions for the results, but also predictions based on a few metrics including comparing each team’s goal differential from the regular season, their Estimated Fenwick Close from the regular season and also their “seed” in the standings. You can find the first round predictions here and the second round predictions here.
I am happy to report I have gone a perfect 12-0 so far in my own personal predictions. We’ll be putting that record on the line for round three.
But, before we get to those new predictions let’s take a peak at the second round to see which metric is doing the best when compared to my record.
By Estimated Fenwick Close (regular season)
This method predicted Kelowna, Everett, Brandon and Medicine Hat to win in round two after going 7-1 in round one. Obviously two of those predictions for round two came up short as both Everett and Medicine Hat were ousted.
Therefore, through two rounds this method has predicted 75% of the series correctly, going 9-3 overall.